The Valencia Trails Market This Week
Every home for sale, pending, and just closed on our streets — priced by floor plan, with the context the portals can’t give you. I live here; these are my neighbors’ sales.
Every home for sale, pending, and just closed on our streets — priced by floor plan, with the context the portals can’t give you. I live here; these are my neighbors’ sales.
Source: recent MLS data and Collier County public records, as of October 2, 2026. Figures are community-wide medians — floor plan, lot, view, pool, and condition move individual values substantially. Closed sales are a rolling four-month window (June 5 – September 23, 2026): this week four closings from May 26 – June 1 aged out and none entered, so the median rose from $1,325,000 to $1,370,000 without any home selling — a change in which sales are counted, not in values.
Both new listings are Pearls: ours, 12284 Lotus Ave, at $1,087,000 — no pool, lake views — and a Pearl with a pool and a preserve view at $1,249,900. That makes eight Pearls for sale, more than any other floor plan, and still not one Pearl has closed inside this four-month window.
The other two are homes coming back. A Pelican with a pool at $818,000 is one of the two homes that left the market last week; it came back within a week of its listing expiring, $6,900 lower. (Last week this report said that if either returned, you’d see it here.) And an Estero without a pool at $1,695,000 ended a 121-day listing on June 1 at $1,675,000 and is back, $20,000 higher.
On the other side of the ledger, the least expensive Captiva — $1,799,000, with a pool and spa — went under contract on September 25, after more than a year on the market. Nothing closed (the latest closing is still September 23), no asking price changed, and no listing left. Homes for sale rose 23 → 26.
Two headline numbers moved without a single sale. The median closed price rose to $1,370,000 from $1,325,000 because the four-month window now starts June 2: four closings from May 26 – June 1 dropped out, three of them under $925,000, and nothing new came in. And months of supply jumped to about 7.3 from about 5.1 — partly the three extra homes, mostly that thinner four-month run of closings. The signature section below takes it apart.
Nine open houses at nine homes — the most in any weekend since this report began in August. Ours: 11871 Gardenia Ave on Saturday 1:00–3:00, and 12284 Lotus Ave, new this week, on Sunday 2:00–4:00. If you’ve been weighing the Pearl, this is the weekend: five of the eight Pearls for sale are open, from $1,087,000 to $1,299,000 — two on Saturday, three on Sunday. Common courtesy: if you visit an open house and already work with an agent you trust, please let the hosting agent know.
| Day | Time | Address | Plan | Asking | Hosted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 | 1:00–3:00 | 11871 Gardenia Ave | Nautilus | $899,900 | Realty ONE Group MVP — ours |
| Sat Oct 3 | 1:00–4:00 | 12391 Purple Ficus Way | Flamingo | $774,980 | Compass Florida |
| Sat Oct 3 | 1:00–4:00 | 12227 Lotus Ave | Pearl | $1,275,000 | Compass Florida |
| Sat Oct 3 | 1:00–4:00 | 12243 Lotus Ave | Pearl | $1,299,000 | Premiere Plus Realty |
| Sun Oct 4 | 1:00–4:00 | 11878 Gardenia Ave | Pearl | $1,125,000 | Premiere Plus Realty |
| Sun Oct 4 | 1:00–4:00 | 11855 Gardenia Ave | Pearl · new | $1,249,900 | John R Wood Properties |
| Sun Oct 4 | 1:00–3:00 | 12078 Mimosa St | Sunrise | $1,550,000 | Realty ONE Group MVP (listed by Kelli Moore) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 1:00–4:00 | 12021 Azalea Way | Estero | $1,695,000 | Compass Florida |
| Sun Oct 4 | 2:00–4:00 | 12284 Lotus Ave | Pearl · new | $1,087,000 | Realty ONE Group MVP — ours |
Open-house schedule from MLS as of the morning of October 2, 2026, plus our two, added after that export — times can change; confirm before you go. Listings and open houses hosted by other agents are shown for information; this report is not intended to solicit property already listed.
2,450 sq ft, built 2024, one owner since new. Lake views from the great room and primary suite, a covered lanai with a built-in natural-gas outdoor kitchen, and room to add a pool. It sits in the quiet center of the community, away from the main roads. Open to the public Sunday 2:00–4:00. A Realty ONE Group MVP listing · presented by The Nicholas Nolan Team. (Pictured: the Pearl model elevation.)
See details & current listings
2,209 sq ft, 2023 build, preserve view with west sunset exposure, full outdoor kitchen. Open to the public Saturday 1:00–3:00 — and this report’s comps come with the tour. A Realty ONE Group MVP listing · presented by The Nicholas Nolan Team. (Pictured: the Nautilus model elevation.)
See details & current listingsLast week inventory fell because two listings left without selling. This week it rose, and “four new listings” would be the wrong way to say it. Here is the whole ledger: two genuinely new homes, two coming back after an earlier attempt, one contract. Homes coming back and the contract are described by plan and price, not by address — the point is the pattern, not the house.
| For sale on September 25 | 23 |
| New listings (both Pearls) | +2 |
| Homes coming back after an earlier attempt | +2 |
| New contracts | −1 |
| Left the market without a sale (last week: two) | −0 |
| For sale on October 2 | 26 |
| Plan | Asking | Pool / spa | View | What happened | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New | Pearl | $1,087,000 | No pool | water | ours · listed October 1 |
| New | Pearl | $1,249,900 | Pool | preserve | listed October 1 |
| Back | Pelican | $818,000 | Pool | lake | one of last week’s two departures; back within a week of its listing expiring, $6,900 lower |
| Back | Estero | $1,695,000 | No pool | wooded | ended a 121-day listing June 1 at $1,675,000; back $20,000 higher |
| Contract | Captiva | $1,799,000 | Pool + spa | landscaped | under contract September 25, after more than a year on the market |
| Closed | Address | Plan | Living area | Sale price | ≈ $/sq ft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | 12349 Dahlia Ct | Sandpiper | 1,660 | $725,000 | $437 |
| Sep 8 | 12063 Azalea Way | Captiva | 3,176 | $2,100,000 | $661 |
| Aug 31 | 12097 Eucalyptus Way | Sunrise | 2,786 | $1,390,000 | $499 |
| Aug 28 | 12165 Eucalyptus Way | Seabreeze | 2,620 | $1,120,000 | $427 |
| Aug 27 | 12436 Purple Ficus Way | Pelican | 1,935 | $950,000 | $491 |
| Aug 17 | 12128 Eucalyptus Way | Sunrise | 2,788 | $1,300,000 | $466 |
| Aug 14 | 12030 Azalea Way | Captiva | 3,176 | $1,750,000 | $551 |
| Aug 12 | 12092 Eucalyptus Way | Sunrise | 2,788 | $1,520,000 | $545 |
| Aug 4 | 11338 Jacaranda Dr | Flamingo | 1,771 | $850,000 | $480 |
| Jul 24 | 11724 Peony Ter | Captiva | 3,176 | $1,825,000 | $575 |
| Jul 15 | 11752 Freesia Ter | Estero | 3,154 | $1,700,000 | $539 |
| Jun 18 | 12372 Dahlia Ct | Sandpiper | 1,674 | $550,000 | $329 |
| Jun 18 | 12005 Azalea Way | Sanibel | 2,820 | $1,600,000 | $567 |
| Jun 5 | 11628 Periwinkle Dr | Sunrise | 2,769 | $1,350,000 | $488 |
Sale prices from Collier County public records and recent MLS data, as of October 2, 2026. This report covers a rolling four-month window (June 5 – September 23, 2026); four closings from May 26 – June 1 aged out this week. Week-to-week moves in the median can reflect which sales are inside the window rather than any change in values. Plan identification from listing remarks where stated, otherwise matched by living area — verify per home. $/sq ft is rounded simple division for orientation only.
The median home for sale in Valencia Trails now advertises 50 days on market, down from 75. The MLS’s cumulative figure — which survives a quick relist — reads 91 (was 113), and counting every earlier attempt the median home on this board has been for sale about 151 days (was about 160). None of that is speed. Four homes arrived with clocks of 1, 1, 1 and 4 days advertised, and the longest-listed Captiva left the board for a contract. The 22 homes that were already for sale simply aged a week: median 79 days advertised, about 166 counting every attempt.
15 of the 26 homes for sale are on at least their second attempt — 6 that the MLS counts as relists, and 9 more whose clocks were reset by a gap between attempts. This week’s two returning homes show why this report counts both ways: the Pelican was off the market only a few days, so the MLS carried its clock (more than 300 days, counting every attempt), while the Estero was off four months and came back at day 1. One more honest detail: the MLS’s cumulative clock keeps running while a home is under contract, which is why this report uses it only for homes still for sale, never for pending or closed ones.
Valencia Trails is 838 homes across 15 GL Homes floor plans in four collections. The community-wide median is a headline; the plan is the market. Every plan with current resale activity:
| Plan | Collection | ~Sq ft | For sale | Pending | Closed, 4 mo | Median closed | ≈ $/sq ft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandpiper | Shoreline | 1,674 | 0 | — | 2 | $637,500 | $383 |
| Flamingo | Shoreline | 1,772 | 2 | 1 | 1 | $850,000 | $480 |
| Pelican | Shoreline | 1,954 | 3 | — | 1 | $950,000 | $491 |
| Nautilus | Atlantica | 2,209 | 1 | — | 0 | — | — |
| Pearl | Atlantica | 2,450 | 8 | — | 0 | — | — |
| Sand Dollar | Atlantica | 2,470 | 1 | — | 0 | — | — |
| Seabreeze | Coastal | 2,608 | 0 | 1 | 1 | $1,120,000 | $427 |
| Sunrise | Coastal | 2,788 | 7 | 1 | 4 | $1,370,000 | $493 |
| Marina | Coastal | 2,913 | 1 | — | 0 | — | — |
| Sanibel | Gulfshore | 2,820 | 0 | — | 1 | $1,600,000 | $567 |
| Estero | Gulfshore | 3,126 | 1 | — | 1 | $1,700,000 | $539 |
| Captiva | Gulfshore | 3,176 | 2 | 1 | 3 | $1,825,000 | $575 |
No current resale activity: Coral, Oceana, Bonita. Medians on 1–2 sales are those sales, not a trend. The Pearl line: 8 of the 26 homes for sale are Pearls — two of them new this week, one of them ours — and no Pearl has closed inside this four-month window. The one Estero closing in the window had a pool and an extended plan ($1,700,000 in July); the Estero for sale has neither. Source: recent MLS data and Collier County public records, as of October 2, 2026.
| Asking | ≈ $/sq ft | Pool / spa | View | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $818,000 | $419 | Pool | water | back this week, $6,900 lower |
| $819,000 | $419 | No pool | landscaped | for sale |
| $820,000 | $420 | No pool | wooded | for sale |
| Closed at | ≈ $/sq ft | Pool / spa | View | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $975,000 | $499 | Pool | lake | closed May 22 · aged out Sep 25 |
| $810,000 | $415 | Pool + spa | pond | closed May 29 · aged out this week |
| $820,000 | $420 | Pool + spa | preserve | closed Jun 1 · aged out this week |
| $950,000 | $491 | Pool | lake | closed Aug 27 · in the window |
The current resales with asking prices, via our MLS listing feed.
Owners: a valuation built from the closed comps above, for your plan and lot.
Dues, one-time fees, and the property-tax reset, dated and sourced.
One email a week: what listed, what closed, what it means — by floor plan. Or tell me the plan you own or you’re watching and I’ll send the closed sales that actually apply. Prefer to talk it through? Book a 30-minute call.
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